The Gold Lens · Topic

Interest Rates

6 analyses on how Interest Rates is shaping the gold market.

Evening light breaking through storm clouds over the Teton Range above Jackson Hole
Macro & Markets

The Fed Has Stopped Giving Directions

Since June the Fed’s statements have carried no forward guidance, and at Jackson Hole Kevin Warsh made the case for keeping it that way. With a hike priced as likely this week, a Fed committed to ‘a discipline, not a decision’ faces its biggest call yet — and gold faces a louder data calendar.

15 September 2026 · 9 min read
The dome of the US Capitol and the Senate wing in warm evening light
Long Read

Gold and the Shadow of Fiscal Dominance

In three days in August the 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high, the national debt passed $40 trillion and the Treasury doubled its buybacks of its own long bonds. Gold rose 13% that month. The United States has run this experiment before — and gold’s part in it then is instructive.

15 September 2026 · 13 min read
A United States one-hundred-dollar bill
Macro & Markets

The Warsh Fed's Hawkish Debut and What It Means for Gold

Kevin Warsh campaigned as a productivity dove. His first meeting as Fed chair delivered a hawkish hold and a dot plot tilting toward hikes. For gold, the tension between the man and the moment is the story.

18 June 2026 · 7 min read
European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt
Macro & Markets

Euro Area Inflation Surprises — Reading the Gold Signal

March CPI data complicates the ECB's path forward and strengthens gold's case as a euro-zone hedge against persistent inflationary pressure.

28 March 2026 · 4 min read
Neoclassical colonnade of a Federal Reserve Bank building
Macro & Markets

The Fed's Extended Pause and Gold's Next Move

With the Federal Reserve holding steady through Q1 2026, the gold market is pricing in a new normal — one where the absence of rate cuts is itself bullish for gold.

21 March 2026 · 4 min read
Financial charts showing diverging trend lines
Macro & Markets

Real Yields Are Rising. Why Isn't Gold Falling?

The traditional inverse correlation between real yields and gold has broken down since 2022. Three structural factors explain why — and what it means for the road ahead.

17 March 2026 · 5 min read